Economic Analysis & Modelling Archive
Estimating the effect of crime (maps) on house prices using a natural experiment
28 March 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Dr. Monsuru Adepeju (PERU) worked alongside Dr. Meng Le Zhang of University of Sheffield to investigate the impact of public crime information on house prices in England and Wales, leveraging the geomasking in online crime maps as a natural experiment.
Meeting Scotland’s child poverty reduction targets
20 February 2024
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This project looks at the relative effectiveness of childcare, employability programmes and social security levers in achieving the child poverty reduction targets
Housing costs and child poverty
20 February 2024
Housing & Homelessness,Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This project utilise the IPPR tax-benefit model to model the effects, at a household level, of changes to housing policy, accounting for the complexities in the benefit system.
Exploring the frontiers of microsimulation
20 February 2024
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Tax-benefit microsimulation modelling is a well-established technique used in many countries around the world for estimating the fiscal, distributional and poverty effects of policy change in the tax and benefit system
Providing advice on building a dynamic microsimulation modelling for non-communicable diseases
20 February 2024
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
The Health Foundation REAL Centre is working with the University of Liverpool to build a dynamic microsimulation model of non-communicable diseases to allow analysis of future demand for healthcare.
Assessing the impact on poverty of changes to the Local Housing Allowance
20 February 2024
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This will provide the first definitive view of the impact that the changes to the Local Housing Allowance over the past decade have had on poverty
Work incentives in the tax and benefit system
20 February 2024
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This project will identify where, and why, work incentives remain poor for so many people by conducting a comprehensive study of work incentives throughout the tax and benefit system
Social Impact Bonds 2.0: exploring the future of SIBs
4 May 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
To achieve their potential SIBs must be re-configured to become a catalyst for innovation, driving public sector reform and addressing new social and economic needs in the post-Covid world.
Modelling the effects of the tax and benefit system
23 September 2019
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
PERU maintains and develops the Institute of Public Policy Research (IPPR) Tax-Benefit Model, which is a tax-benefit microsimulation model used by the IPPR, Resolution Foundation, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, New Economics Foundation, and Legatum Institute.
Modelling the economic impacts of a Citizen’s Basic Income in Scotland
6 June 2019
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
The aim of this project was to estimate the economic impacts if a Citizen’s Basic Income were implemented throughout Scotland.
Supporting Wigan Payment by Results (PbR) Substance Misuse pilot
15 January 2013
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
PERU worked with Wigan Drug and Alcohol Action Team (DAAT) between July 2011 and March 2012 to support the development of a tariff system for the Wigan PbR model.
The costs and benefits of engaging volunteers from under-represented groups
1 September 2010
Social Innovation,Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Gaining a greater understanding of the costs and benefits of engaging volunteers from under-represented groups in the work of voluntary sector organisations through a survey and face-to-face interviews.
An economic review of domestic violence services in Cheshire
1 February 2009
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
PERU undertook a short review of the evidence on the impact of domestic violence services, collected data on the economic cost of delivering the particular service under review and calculated the break-even point for the service to be cost effective.
An economic appraisal of the long-term costs and benefits of Young Carers services
1 February 2008
Assessing the economic cost of delivering services to young carers and the potential benefits that might accrue to the tax payer and wider society from successful interventions.
The ‘Exposed’ Population, Violent Crime in Public Space and the Night-time Economy in Manchester, UK.
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling,Big Data
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
The Influence of Intra-Daily Activities and Settings upon Weekday Violent Crime in Public Spaces in Manchester, UK. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research.
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling,Big Data
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
Policing and Mental ill-health: Using Big Data to Assess the Scale and Severity of, and the Frontline Resources Committed to, mental ill-health-related calls-for-service
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling,Big Data
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
Understanding policing demand and deployment through the lens of the city and with the application of big data.
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling,Big Data
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
Inequality in exposure to crime, social disorganization and collective efficacy: Evidence from Greater Manchester, United Kingdom.
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling,Big Data
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
The spatial reordering of poverty and crime: A study of Glasgow and Birmingham (United Kingdom), 2001/2 to 2015/16. Cities, 130, 103874.
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling,Big Data
The Health Foundation REAL Centre is working with the University of Liverpool to build a dynamic microsimulation model of non-communicable diseases to allow analysis of future demand for healthcare.
Is the policing prioritisation of and response to crime equitable? An examination of frontline policing deployment to incidents of violence-against-the-person.
22 June 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
Estimating the effect of crime (maps) on house prices using a natural experiment
28 March 2024
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This project leverages features associated with the geomasking algorithm to estimate the effect of public crime statistics on house prices.
Doing Gig Work – Illustrated Material Published
7 June 2023
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Publication aims to raise awareness about the platform-based gig economy
Are Social Impact Bonds an Innovation in Finance or Do They Help Finance Social Innovation?
7 July 2022
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Using data from the Social Finance UK Database and focusing on SIBs in the US and UK, Olson et al. evaluate whether the SIB approach aligns with the theoretical predictions of social innovation.
Public Service Motivation? Rethinking What Motivates Public Actors
30 June 2022
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Chris O’Leary looks afresh at the reasons for prosocial work choices in the first substantive critique of Public Service Motivation (PSM).
Can a focus on co-created, strengths-based services facilitate early-stage innovation within social impact bonds?
6 June 2022
Co-creation and strength-based working as characteristics of social innovation bonds.
Theme: Social Innovation in Public Services – Innovating ‘Co-Creative’ Relationships Between Services, Citizens and Communities?
10 May 2022
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
The authors report and analyse innovative co-creative initiatives involving marginalized and stigmatized groups (prisoners, urban racialized minorities, rural poor populations including Roma).
Book Review: Local Social Innovation to Combat Poverty and Exclusion: A Critical Appraisal
7 May 2022
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This book review by Sue Baines provides an insight into the value that Oosterlynck, Novy and Kazepov's book brings to the field of social innovation.
New book on Contemporary Inequalities and the Life Course
30 March 2022
Education, Childhood & Youth,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This book draws upon perspectives from across the globe, employing an interdisciplinary life course approach.
Social Innovation and Co-creation in Smallscale Renewable Energy: an Asset-based Approach
30 December 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This paper makes a novel contribution by turning an ‘asset’ lens onto social and technical innovation in the context of the small-scale generation of renewable energy.
Co-Creating Rehabilitation: Findings From a Pilot and Implications for Wider Public Service Reform
28 December 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
As part of a large pan-European project on co-creating public services we supported the design of a programme in England that attempted to operationalise research on desistance, through a model of co-created, strengths-based working. We then evaluated its implementation and impact.
‘Good stories get lost in bureaucracy!’
3 November 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Cultural biases and information for co-production
A New Agenda for Co-Creating Public Services
5 October 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This paper draws together key findings from CoSIE with a particular focus on what these imply for new policy and practice in public services in the form of a discussion paper aimed at European, national and regional policy-makers.
Making Sense of Information and Evidence for Co-Creation
22 March 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
A blog for the H2020 project CoSIE, reflecting on ways to navigate tensions between differing views on good information and reliable evidence.
Cycling Societies Innovations, Inequalities and Governance
18 March 2021
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Emerging debates and questions around cycling
Social Impact Bonds 2.0? Findings from a Study of Four UK SIBs
13 December 2020
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
How Social Impact Bonds can facilitate a move to strengths-based service delivery and help drive innovation in public service delivery
Where Next for Co-creating Public Services?
5 October 2020
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Emerging lessons and new questions from CoSIE
Implementing Innovative Social Investment: Strategic Lessons from Europe
15 July 2020
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This edited collection brings regional and local realities to the forefront of social investment debates by showcasing successes, challenges and setbacks of Social Investment policies and services from ten European countries.
Commissioning and social determinants: evidence and opportunities
8 July 2020
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This chapter argues that local authorities can and should use their purchasing power strategically to address the social determinants of health that affect their local area.
The progress of marketisation: the prison and probation experience
3 July 2020
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Rapid Evidence Assessment finds a growing body of evidence that lower probation caseloads have a positive impact in terms of reducing reoffending in the USA.
Modelling the Economic Impact of a Citizen’s Basic Income in Scotland
11 June 2020
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
A report, co-authored by researchers from the Fraser of Allander Institute, Manchester Metropolitan University and IPPR Scotland, looks at the costs and benefits of implementing a basic income in Scotland and the channels through which it may impact upon the economy.
Towards a Theoretical Framework for Social Impact Bonds
14 February 2020
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Governments in some of the world’s richest nations appear to be caught in a double challenge of declining social budgets even as social needs are increasing.
Innovation and the Evidence Base
10 January 2020
Social Innovation,Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This report explores the concept of innovation and its application to the delivery of probation services.
Putting the community back into payback
6 November 2019
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This chapter explores how to put communities back into community payback through the use of co-operatives.
Procurement and commissioning in the non-profit sector
4 October 2019
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Procurement and commissioning in the non-profit sector
Transforming Research and Policy
23 September 2019
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
A Handbook to Connect Research with Policy Making
Co-creation of Public Service Innovation
20 June 2019
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Drawing together ideas about co-creation, social innovation, social investment and individual and collective values that underpin the CoSIE project.
Implementing Innovative Social Investment
12 March 2019
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Available Open Access under CC-BY-NC licence. The turn towards a Social Investment approach to welfare implies deploying resources to enhance human capital and mobilise the productive potential of citizens, starting in early childhood.
Social Impact Bonds: More Than One Approach
8 January 2019
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
A look at how social impact bonds differ between projects and geographies, and how those differences impact practical implementation.
Innovation and Social Investment Programs in Europe
19 October 2018
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
There is a lack of empirical research around sub‐national Social Investment programs, and a lack of connectivity with social innovation.
How Could Brexit Affect Poverty in the UK?
6 September 2018
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This briefing analyses Brexit’s potential impact on families in poverty, along with other forces that could help or hinder efforts to solve UK poverty.
Payment by results and social impact bonds
26 April 2018
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Outcome-based payment systems in the UK and US
The Economic Inefficiency of Student Fees and Loans
3 May 2017
Education, Childhood & Youth,Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
In this report, published by the Intergenerational Foundation, Kevin argues that the benefits of a young person getting a higher education qualification in England accrue in the ratio 58% to the nation and 42% to the graduate.
Globalisation and sticky prices: ‘con’ or conundrum
23 February 2016
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
With reference to a case study which illustrates the existence of segmented markets and international price discrimination, this paper develops a theoretical model of comparative advantage in which domestic prices may be sticky.
The Impact of Weather and Climate on Tourist Demand: The case of Chester Zoo
16 April 2015
Warmer, drier summer weather brought by global climate change should encourage use of outdoor leisure facilities.
Markets, privatisation and law and order – some economic considerations
16 April 2015
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Kevin Albertson discusses the difficulty of aligning private incentives with the public good
How to Run the Country Manual
6 March 2015
Incomes, Work & Poverty,Economic Analysis & Modelling
The step-by-step guide to running Great Britain
The role of social innovation in criminal justice reform and the risk posed by proposed reforms
12 February 2015
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
The UK government has called for a rehabilitation revolution in England and Wales and put its faith in market testing.
Wealth of Our Nation: Rethinking Policies for Wealth Distribution
1 October 2014
Social Innovation,Economic Analysis & Modelling
This paper explores the implications for public policy from the new Office of National Statistics (ONS) data source on wealth distribution in Britain, and what we know about future trends in savings, longevity, property prices and inheritance.
ICCJ Monograph No 9: Justice, with Reason: Rethinking the Economics of Crime and Justice
1 August 2014
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Economic ideas and concepts have always influenced thinking about crime and criminal justice. Increasingly, however, criminologists, policy-makers and practitioners who draw on, or seek to critique, economic ideas take a rather narrow view of economics based on the prevailing orthodoxy: neo-liberalism. Neo-liberalism, vulgarly conceived, assumes society is comprised of self-serving, instrumentally rational actors.
PERU Briefing 14/02: Social Innovation in the Criminal Justice System
10 July 2014
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
In this briefing we highlight the importance of social innovation in the criminal justice system and ask whether reforms to the criminal justice system taking place as part of the Transforming Rehabilitation policy shift will encourage or deter social innovation in the future.
Personalisation in the criminal justice system: what is the potential?
24 March 2014
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
The criminal justice sector has never achieved rates of re-offending with which the public and policy makers are satisfied.
Justice Reinvestment in an “Age of Austerity”: Developments in the United Kingdom
30 January 2014
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
In the UK, national and local governments are struggling to cope with the economic crisis which ensued in 2008.
PERU Briefing 13/01 : Justice Reinvestment Thinking outside the cell
9 September 2013
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
In Crime and Punishment in America, Currie notes that, short of major wars, mass imprisonment has been the most thoroughly implemented USA government social programme of recent times.
Could Personalisation Reduce Reoffending?
22 August 2013
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Rising prison numbers and high rates of re-offending illustrate the need for criminal justice reform.
Justice Reinvestment: Can it Deliver More for Less?
15 May 2013
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Recent years have seen high levels of public spending on criminal justice but to relatively little effect
Crime and Economics: An Introduction
12 March 2013
Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Crime and Economics provides the first comprehensive and accessible text to address the economics of crime within the study of crime and criminology.
Estimating the costs and benefits of an alcohol treatment requirement
12 March 2013
Social Innovation,Criminal Justice,Economic Analysis & Modelling
Purpose – This paper seeks to report on a project to estimate the costs and benefits of implementing an Alcohol Treatment Requirement (ATR) in Stockport.